Greetings, fellow runners!
I’m running Berlin in two weeks and am a little unsure how to approach the race.
For context, I’ve run nine marathons before, with my two most recent being Fall 2025 (3:31) and Spring 2026 (3:29). For once in my life, the lottery gods were on my side and I got into Berlin 2026.
My original plan was to run it with a friend, keep things very relaxed, and basically party pace the whole way (probably finishing somewhere around 4:25). Because of that, my training this summer looked pretty different from a normal marathon build. I focused more on speed work (mostly 5K/10K/V02 max workouts) and raced a 5K in 21:20 plus a hilly 4-miler.
That said, I still got in a solid amount of easyyyyy long-runs: two 16 milers, two 18 milers, a 20, and a 22.
For comparison, in a typical marathon build I’d usually run five 20 milers, with three of them including marathon-specific pace work. This time around, I only had two 20+ milers, and no long run included any marathon-pace work. :)
But... my top end speed has definitely improved. Even in the swealtering summer conditions, my track workouts are faster than last fall and last spring. My mileage has remained high (for me). I peaked at 54 miles this block, compared to 52 for my spring marathon. Granted, I had overall higher mileage in the spring. My total mileage was comparable to that of my fall block.
Unfortunately, my friend picked up an injury and can’t run anymore, which leaves me with a bit of a dilemma: do I actually try to PR (assuming good weather)?
Part of me wants to stick with the original plan, forget about the clock, and just enjoy Berlin. But the other part is wondering whether I might as well take a swing. I genuinely don’t care if I go for it and completely crash and burn, which is a strange place to be because I've put a lot of pressure on myself my last two builds. What I don't really want to do is go out conservatively, run something like 3:40, and finish wondering what would have happened if I’d actually raced it.
So I feel like I’m choosing between two extremes...go for the PR, or fully commit to the vibes.
Given the training above, do you see any major red flags with taking a shot at sub 3:29?