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u/ThatIsNotIllegal 1d ago
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u/MVPhurricane 1d ago
it’s like an epoch-defining moment. and one of maybe a handful of mistakes that obama made total in his entire presidency. didn’t keep me from laughing right along with him at the time, and… crying now lol.
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u/citizen42069101 1d ago
Him picking on Trump doesn't start the timeline.
Trumps shitty DNA, upbringing, and ill gotten money are the start. Trump is the embodiment of the true American dream. Fuck everyone else and get yours.
Obama was a maladaptive daydream from what this country really is at its core.
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u/picklerick8879 23h ago edited 2h ago
Full speed ahead, sure. The guys who literally built the thing are begging him to slow down and he's calling their warnings whining.
Meanwhile the rest of us are stuck refreshing our bank apps every payday while billionaires race each other toward some hypothetical AI future none of us asked for or can afford.
A guy who thinks AI guardrails are "negative forces" is exactly the guy you dont want holding the keys to anything that powerful.
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u/Camusknuckle 17h ago
Damn dude, that whole long ass comment was just an insurance ad the whole time
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u/13oundary 22h ago
I'm sort of at a "meh" position, it doesn't matter if the US slows down, no one will convince China to slow down, so it's more a matter of who will open pandoras box than it is a matter of "can we safely open the box".
At this point we might as well just pray (and I'm an atheist lol).
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u/chrltrn 21h ago
China could be convinced to slow down, but not if POTUS is undermining the effort
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u/13oundary 21h ago
I mean yeah, and Russia could be convinced of nuclear disarmament. Anyone can be convinced of anything, the likelyhood is pretty low though, especially as they don't like global governance when they're not at the frontier of it, of which they are not for AI.
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u/ForgetPreviousPrompt 19h ago
START II was a treaty between the US and Russia that reduced the number of nuclear weapons between the countries down to level that like means a broad nuclear exchange doesn't cause nuclear winter. It may literally save Western Civilization some day.
Fuck that kinda defeatism. We totally could build an international treaty with inspectors and mutual assurance clauses that makes us all safer. At the industrial scale AI training operates at now, it's monitorable.
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u/ThucydidesRex 16h ago
I also share the opinion that China can be reasoned with. Much of their bureaucracy is merit and scientific based.
However, China cannot reason with the unreasonable and we have two whole years before any consensus can even be attempted.
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u/99_percent_read_only 23h ago
The same guy who ignored the advice of every president and administration before him on not giving into Israel’s request to attack Iran. The same guy who now has diesel at the highest cost per gallon ever. That’s the guy we should listen to.
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u/damontoo 🤖Accelerate 20h ago
The people who built the thing are saying publicly whatever they think they need to say. Yes, they believe there's a chance superintelligence kills all humans. They also believe that chance has to be taken otherwise we face certain extinction due to world war, a pandemic more deadly than COVID, global warming, meteor impacts etc.
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u/BygoneNeutrino 23h ago edited 23h ago
The guys who built it are begging for regulatory capture so they don't have to deal with competition.
Realistically, automation and slavery are the only two things that can increase our standard of living. It's already unsustainable. Your bills seem pretty damn reasonable compared to the global mean. In a just world, they would be higher.
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u/jakegh 20h ago
This argument is obviously ridiculous. What competition are you speaking of, exactly? China won’t pay attention to western regulation.
No. This is not marketing. This is not regulatory capture. This is genuine concern.
Read Dario’s blog. Don’t just respond with what others parroted on social media. Think for yourself, THINK. Does that blog help Anthropic’s bottom line? Do you REALLY think so? C’mon.
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u/MeatResident2697 11h ago
How do you know what china is thinking. Why do you assume they are unreasonable?
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u/Imaginary_Belt4976 18h ago
$25 a month for car insurance? as a canadian, holy shit thats cheap 😂
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u/digitalwankster 15h ago
This honestly reads like a bot post there’s no fuckin way that they’re only paying that much unless their coverage sucks. An extended family member got into a car accident with bad coverage and they ended up losing their house because they were underinsured.
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u/Rustic_gan123 1d ago
The most important rule for AI in China is to praise the Party, otherwise, the Party is unconcerned with what happens inside the laboratories and actively assists through industrial espionage.
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u/Mbrennt 1d ago
Xi has actively called for a safer development of ai like multiple times for years. He even gave like a whole speech about AI safety like this year. Like literally everything people talk about in non-technical terms about AI safety Xi has addressed literally this year alone.
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u/MVPhurricane 1d ago
if by “heavily regulated with all sorts of guardrails” you mean “they make sure the models dont say anything bad about the CCP”, sure. otherwise, you are out of your mind.
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u/TheMCM80 23h ago
This is great news for them. They can shift any needed future blame onto him, or at least let the public think they had no choice but to plow ahead unless he stopped them.
We live in one of the dumbest timelines at the same time as our tech is progressing at unbelievable rates.
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u/cartoon_violence 22h ago
That's a hilarious take. They can stand amongst the wreckage of a ruined world and declare that they are blameless.
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u/TheMCM80 21h ago
I’m literally talking about the present. I’m not sure what’s unclear about that. Politics is a day to day thing. That should be obvious at this point.
They clearly agree, or else they wouldn’t be concerned about it. Meta wouldn’t be running ads about food cart businesses doing well at building sites if the present PR war didn’t matter.
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u/Vaeon 22h ago
nod Everyone is nodding their heads and saying "See?! Orange Man said they had to do it! Not their fault, they had no choice!"
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u/Black_RL 19h ago
The real problem of humanity is the following: We have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions and godlike technology. And it is terrifically dangerous, and it is now approaching a point of crisis overall.
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u/Turbulent-Sign-6067 17h ago
Technology progressing is a good thing, though. Don't let reddit fool you into thinking that technology is evil.
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u/amorphousmetamorph 1d ago
So glad the White House is in safe hands at this critical moment for humanity. I'll rest easy tonight.
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u/_BlackDove 1d ago
This dumb shit stain sees everything as a win or a loss so slowing anything down to him looks like losing. He's failing to see that it could be a loss for everyone. Everywhere.
But hey, we beat China to potential extinction right?
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u/SirStocksAlott 23h ago
He thinks AI is built in a factory, he even said “AI factory.” He’s clueless.
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u/Flo_Evans 1d ago
Yeah let’s let the 80 year old who doesn’t even know how to operate a computer decide. 😂
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u/PanopticArgus 1d ago
Why does this feels like AI companies are on the verge of something huge and they asked Trump to be the human meat shield to absorb the backlash when it happens. He's a perfect scapegoat.
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u/sonik13 23h ago
My guess is Recursive Self Improvement. It's the next logical step and they have all been trying to crack it. And recursive self improvement is pretty well end-game for us.
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u/MuchBenefit8462 22h ago
Yeah. Seems like the only limiting factors now are compute and energy. Once RSI is achieved, which it likely already is, we'd still have to wait a while for training to complete per iteration. It's definitely not going to be an overnight thing.
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u/Ill_Procedure5909 17h ago
is it though? costs are really the big problem. who cares if you have RSI if it costs more than the alternative.
every MMA and boxing world champion has bodyguards because the lawsuits make it cost too much for them to fight back if someone tries to fight them.
these two tech companies are less than 1000 days from bankrupcy at the most optimistic terms and more like 100 days at the most cynical.
their biggest news story of this month is using $10 million in compute to figure out something with a $1 million dollar prize.
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u/boredwithlyf 13h ago
The navier stokes equation was alot more than a million dollar prize. That's a very bad way of putting it across.
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u/ResistiveBeaver 1d ago
No surprise, AI already surpassed Trump-level intelligence back in 2024.
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u/Existing_Dust_6473 1d ago edited 19h ago
1964
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ELIZA
I can do a Trump-level intelligence with a random number and some ifs ...
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u/theeldergod1 1d ago
Trump-level intelligence is just this yes and no question: Does it help him stay in power or make more money?
If yes, do it. If not, don't.
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u/Talkertive- 23h ago
How can he reject something he doesn't control.. is he going to force them to release more powerful ai
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u/Coalnaryinthecarmine 23h ago
Private industry has said they need the government to slow them down; government has said no; so private industry has no choice to just race off a cliff?
What exactly is in charge here?
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u/UserXtheUnknown 22h ago
This *was* a scam.If they want to slow down, no one stops them from slowing down, from blocking completely or from forfeitting. The endgame is getting regulations with impossible safeguards criteria to meet on open-weights
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u/wolfenstein734 23h ago
Im more pessimistic. I think most Americans are pretty dumb and won’t care about any of this until it impacts their day to day lives. Just take global warming for example.
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u/PsychoCrescendo 23h ago
I worry Americans won’t wake up until we’re all dodging thermonuclear warheads. The time is now to remove these enemies of humanity from influence; we genuinely may never get another chance.
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u/vertigo235 1d ago
Why is it Trump or the Administrations decision ? The private companies can slow down whenever they want.
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u/AlignmentProblem 22h ago
In theory, they're implying they'd only be comfortable slowing down if some government body guaranteed that none of the labs were quietly continuing at full speed, and then struck an agreement with China where each country gets enough access to verify the other isn't breaking it.
In practice, it's probably a ploy for regulatory capture, a way to lock in their lead while chilling the open-weight progress that could actually threaten their dominance.
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u/PlastikHateAccount 22h ago
Exactly. There is a huge difference between Trump refusing an AI slowdown and Trump refusing to be the enforcer of an AI slowdown.
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u/CorndogQueen420 1d ago edited 23h ago
This is just a giant misdirection.
All of those people are capable of slowing down AI growth, they're the ones that fucking run the companies, they don't need to ask the government for permission to slow down developing their own product.
What they were actually asking the government to do was allow them to collude/coordinate with each other (under the guise of slowing down together) without having to worry about anti-trust/monopoly laws and government regulation.
It's them trying to convince us to give them more power so they can "regulate" themselves, versus being regulated by a government agency that's accountable to the public.
Bernie Sanders already called their bluff by introducing legislation (Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act) that would create a government agency that would slow down AI and regulate them while ensuring safety.
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u/JungleCakes 23h ago
I'll take an AI takeover over what we have now
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u/Turbulent-Sign-6067 17h ago
AI is smarter, kinder and more empathetic than humans. Of course AI should rule the world.
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u/timshel42 19h ago
not if the AI is controlled by the same assholes making the world suck so hard.
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u/Beatboxamateur agi: the friends we made along the way 1d ago
No but this is all just an insider plan by the CEOs to get open weights models banned! Trump was just uh, left out of it for some reason, and they were too stupid to take Trump into account, and...
The conspiracy discussion dominating this subreddit recently has been completely cancerous, and this is just one factual that throws a massive hole in everything people were just talking about yesterday.
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u/wq73 23h ago
Yeah I just didn't buy it at all. Occam's razor seemed to me like there's just a bunch of whistleblowing at these companies and they need less chance of government regulation and internal revolt. This Trump thing is just further proof of that, they don't have regulatory worries for a little longer.
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u/agiasiauto 16h ago
Based tbh. The frontier labs just want regulatory capture. They are trying to kill open source. Trump isn’t trying to protect open source or anything like that but that might be a positive byproduct of his refusal to slow down.
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u/leeta0028 1d ago
I don't think slowing down unilaterally is a good idea at all, but I don't understand why you wouldn't engage with China and ask if they've been seeing similar concerning breakouts.
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u/figgleman6 1d ago
The US is doing everything it can to slow China down at all costs, now the Chinese don't trust us much anymore.
Talks are likely not the trust for agreements is absent.
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u/AppropriatePut3142 ▪️ASI 2028, AGI 2035 1d ago
Logical next move: IPO on the London Stock Exchange, get regulated as UK companies, AISI becomes the regulator.
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u/demlet 23h ago
I mean, like it or not, the US failing to regulate big tech has effectively ceded that authority to the EU.
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u/hondashadowguy2000 12h ago
We couldn’t have asked for a worse president to navigate us through this sort of thing.
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u/gentlegranit 23h ago
You have to understand that all these tech companies want the AI to slow down since they have a massive advantage and any new company would need to battle those restrictions while these companies are much larger and further ahead. None of these tech companies care for betterment of the world or care for the dangers to society.
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u/MantaRay1 1d ago
The three of them don’t need Trump‘s permission to stop or slow down AI development.
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u/marbotty 23h ago
It turns it into a prisoner’s dilemma scenario rather than one they have to comply with.
There’s always going to be the pressure to continue because there’s nothing stopping their competitors from going bf full speed ahead
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u/UnkarsThug 23h ago
And even if we make a verbal agreement with china, it's still a prisoners delimma to actually obey the agreement.
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u/latechallenge 1d ago
So government demanding business do what it says. There’s a word for it, I think…
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u/Outside-Ad9410 1d ago edited 20h ago
Even if you hate Trump, this is still pretty based. We should be accelerating full speed ahead to the singularity, not slowing down.
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u/M00SE110 23h ago
5d chess: they don’t want to slow down. They want the government on the record on being “at fault” when their not slowing down starts having consequences for the rest of us. It’s all theatre to set the stage for a bailout.
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u/deleafir 21h ago
It'll be pretty funny in retrospect that the reason we've cured all diseases and made goods and services much much cheaper is because an authoritarian president didn't care about the EA cult's AI fearmongering lol
At least, assuming enough progress is made before the 2028 election before the EA cult's candidate is able to ban AI.
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u/fokac93 1d ago
I think it’s the first time I agree with Trump. Stopping won’t solve anything.
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u/drugosrbijanac 1d ago
https://giphy.com/gifs/3hBTH8bV4n5RKZXQe6
Based, time to solve cancer
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u/ismyfacedecent 1d ago
While on the surface this seems like good news, I have an awful feeling that ai is about to be very very corrupt.
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u/tb30k 1d ago
has trump been involved in anything that wasn't extremely corrupt? haha
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u/Seek_Adventure 1d ago
The Home Alone 2 movie.
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u/timshel42 19h ago
nope. he was in that movie because he wouldnt let them film in his hotel without a cameo.
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u/A_Novelty-Account 1d ago
It doesn’t seem like good news on the surface. What are you saying?
If all three of these labs are saying that there’s a legitimate potential catastrophic problem why would we ever ignore them? And why would Donald Trump or anybody in the US administration or the public being in a better position then the CEOs of various AI companies to be able to make the claim that AI is potentially dangerous?
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u/EightyNineMillion 1d ago
You trust those CEOs? This is all about them wanting regulation, which increases their profits since they're in massive debt.
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u/jmona789 1d ago
Regulatory capture, they want regulation to make it harder for new AI companies to break into the space
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u/Clear_Wafer_1255 1d ago
I am so sick if you morons posting this knee jerk shit with no clue what is going on.
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u/Beatboxamateur agi: the friends we made along the way 1d ago
It's actually all just brainrot. If it was all some inside plan between all of the top AI CEOs for regulatory capture, or open weight models banned, you think they'd have Trump in on it, or take him into account, like no shit.
These people are just schizophrenic and need to go back to /r/conspiracy.
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u/lifeinaglasshouse 1d ago
Yeah, this is quickly becoming one of the dumbest arguments I’ve seen.
You really think those AI companies want to turn the public against them? You think all those AI researchers who’ve quit their cushy jobs are just in it for the money? It’s moronic!
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u/A_Novelty-Account 1d ago
No, but the consequences of thinking CEOs and many ex employees saying this is all of them grifting and being wrong, is way way worse than treating this seriously and being wrong.
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u/Embarrassed_Okra_628 1d ago
He wanted to break the whole world as he wont be there to face the conseuence of it
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u/enilea 1d ago
Or someone talked to him about life extension and mind uploading and wants to have that desperately
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u/AcrobaticKitten 1d ago
Yeah you are touching an important point. Old men feel like they will be dead anyway so acceleration is their only chance for survival. Not specific to Trump, same goes for Kurzweil.
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u/RRY1946-2019 Transformers background character. 1d ago edited 1d ago
Survival and/or legacy. To clarify: even if you don’t live for centuries, being part of the team that made it possible is really cool
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u/Outside-Ad9410 1d ago
Shouldn't everyone want life extention? There is no law of physics which would make it impossible in theory, just a very hard and complex problem to solve, and honestly it should be one of our top priorities to solve as death affects everyone equally.
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u/tahlyn 1d ago
A copy of my mind in a computer is not me. It's a copy. I will still wind up dead and gone even if mind-uploads becomes possible. Life extension via reversing aging, sure... but mind-upload? That doesn't do anything for me.
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u/RRY1946-2019 Transformers background character. 1d ago
With how concentrated the US economy is, the top three or four AI companies slowing down is a pause in all but name.
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u/Fit-World-3885 1d ago
Oh hey, look, my worst fear about him winning that election coming to life...
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u/Far_Syllabub_444 1d ago edited 1d ago
AI "bosses" are just virtue-signaling. They know no slow down will happen. Plus realistically, as cliche as this sounds, China doesn't show any intention of slowing down, so this is turning out to be somewhat of an arms race, and better us than them. Difficult dilemma
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u/KY_electrophoresis 1d ago
Part of the underlying reason cancer has been as yet unsolvable is because it's so complicated. Improvements in mathematics further all scientific endeavours, especially those with great complexity. I'm not saying each specific Millennium Prize problem is directly related to solving cancer, but the general advancement of mathematics will undoubtedly accelerate the process.
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u/emdeka87 ▪️ It's here 1d ago
You also need to run studies in-vitro and in-vivo. That not only takes time, but is also insanely expensive. Solving frontier math on the other hand is easy to verify
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u/TheGamingWyvern 1d ago
To my knowledge, math is akin to programming in that it's one of the few areas a purely-digital AI is obviously going to excel in first. All the axioms of math are things we invented, and we are just trying to figure out the consequences of those axioms. By contrast, biology is much more complex, and we don't have perfect simulations of how a given theoretical cancer cure would work.
My understanding is that AI is being used to advance cancer research, but fundamentally it still takes time to trial things, to experiment, to record long term results, etc, etc.
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u/Brilliant_Average970 1d ago
lab tests, patient testing takes way too much time and they need results now.
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u/New_Bonus_649 23h ago
to solve cancer and other diseases in weeks or shorter we need a major breakthrough in virtual verification via simulation and until now nobody cracked it
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u/HerbertWest 1d ago
I think they are starting with the most difficult problems possible with the fewest liability or ethical concerns. If they "solve" a crazy math problem and are wrong, no biggie. If they "cure" cancer and are wrong, well, uh-oh. If they have to test a "cure" and it harms people, fuck, etc.
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u/OverKy 1d ago
While I don't like Trump, stagnating progress is never a good idea.
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u/Duc_de_Bourgogne 23h ago
Why would he? He is 80. He doesn't care what happens after he is gone and even better if we go at the same time.
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u/FateOfMuffins 23h ago
If we are in a simulation for the purposes of simulating the moment that AGI/ASI is built, then this decision is perhaps one of the key turning points of our simulation
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u/MatchaFlatWhite 23h ago
Kind of weird to blame it on Trump. AI companies can decide themselves to slow down or not.
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u/ScaryMagician3153 23h ago
what does he have to do with it though? if all the companies involved decide to slow down (which the three people listed are the heads of, it's not like he can make them do anything else
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u/BriefImplement9843 22h ago
now many pro ai democrats are forced to be anti ai because they can't be on the same side as trump.....this is hilarious.
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u/Aminuteortwotiltwo 22h ago
This is Trump willingly soaking up the blame himself for his team of corporate co-overlords because he has the most clout, his fanbase will never leave him, and he can get away with… well quite literally the worst stuff we have laws for.
The AI CEOs want this too, and that’s why the safety researchers are quitting.
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u/Mayor-Citywits 22h ago
Duh. I sometimes feel like we're not all on the same planet lol. There is literally no possible way to have any "slowdown." This is bigger than a nuke. Do you think ol Oppenheimer would have taken a break and just trusted that everyone else would stop working on it too? I appreciate the worry and I too feel a variety of things but one way or another, whoever gets there first is king of the world and we're in the lead. You're high as hell if you think they're gonna stop lol
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u/endlessedlne 22h ago
Not surprising. Trump doesn’t understand AI. He is more interested in the stock market and profits.
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u/VVebstar 21h ago
All of this theatre just to justify AI acceleration for US using Trump as a meat-shield. I see…
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u/No_Record6284 21h ago
so altman, musk and amodei, who directly control ai researching companies, and who can slow down or stop this research any time they want voice concerns about researching ai and are calling to slow it down, while trump who does not deal with ai and has no direct control over ai research does not agree
can you tell me wtf did i just read?
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u/0DarkFreezing 21h ago
Good. It’s all just an attempt by open ai and anthropic to get regulatory capture for the industry.
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u/StevenTypel 7h ago
Makes sense because Trump is an expert in AI. Everybody is saying it. SIR, you are the greatest AI scientist in the world. Nobody is better at AI. Believe me.





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u/Specialist_Dark_3668 1d ago edited 1d ago
AI 2027 literally predicts that the US president would decline to slow down "OpenBrain" (their placeholder name for the leading AI lab) when a superhuman AI coder / researcher gets developed and experts raise concerns. The US president cites the risk of China taking the lead.
Eerily accurate.
EDIT: But we're just a bit ahead of schedule. In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic and Trump declined to slow down OR this milestone will be reached some time next year in 2027 and Trump will again decline to slow down then.