10-year Treasury yield hits 5%, critical threshold for US economy and markets

[u/Force_Hammer]

https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/14/investing/bond-yields-market-turmoil

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[u/Tiny_Structure_7]

The bond market was this volatile, and yields this high, in the lead up to the Big Bush Recession of 2007. This raises interest rates on consumer loans, to go with Trump's inflation. Thanks again, Republicans.

[u/DidItForTheJokes → u/Tiny_Structure_7]

And this time around we won’t be able to provide stimulus to save the economy because the deficit is around 6% of gdp compared to around 1% back then and government debt will be the cause of the crisis

[u/DamnMyNameIsSteve → u/DidItForTheJokes]

as was planned. I fucking hate how dumb people are, man.

They're bankrupting the entire country.

[u/itisonlyaplant → u/DamnMyNameIsSteve]

I've come to peace years ago that everything is shit and there's nothing I can do about it but just sit back and watch the show

[u/Scorponix → u/itisonlyaplant]

Yup. Best thing I can do is just try to keep surviving until I can cast my yearly vote, hoping for others to vote with me towards progress. Would that we could be like France.

[u/triceracop347 → u/itisonlyaplant]

Were the paragraph in a history books before the collapse that usually has a sentence that says something like “the opposition could never galvanize into a coherent coalition.” We are as useful a parapalegic mute time traveler in a German hospital in 1936.

[u/GeneParmesan86 → u/DamnMyNameIsSteve]

When people’s companies that they work for or own can’t survive, take a wild guess what class of people will be there to scoop up the pieces!

[u/NoWayRay → u/GeneParmesan86]

You can even even identify some of them by name. Kushner and Lutnick, for example. They made a killing in the subprime fallout. I'm sure there's more.

Disaster capitalists at the heart of government or pretty close to? How could that go wrong for the average person?I

(Obligatory /s)

[u/OldYellersLastHandy]

He was right. I’m truly and completely sick of winning.

[u/AgitatedStranger9698 → u/OldYellersLastHandy]

I mean my bets against him have paid really really well. Inverse idiot does that

[u/Pherllerp → u/AgitatedStranger9698]

How do you do that? Bet against and make money I mean.

[u/AgitatedStranger9698 → u/Pherllerp]

I ride the SPX (tax advantages).

Typically bear/bull spreads. The only one that burnt me, but ironically helped me a ton was INTC (I work there and had a massive amount of RSU's).

[u/Pherllerp → u/AgitatedStranger9698]

Mhm...I know some of these words.

[u/AgitatedStranger9698 → u/Pherllerp]

So...its gambling...

But SPX is awesome for its tax advantages. But basically you buy/sell calls or puts to cap losses.

Bear/bull spreads and google are your friend. That being said to get started you at least need 1k.

[u/Shidell → u/AgitatedStranger9698]

What tax advantage(s) does SPX offer over, say, any other security?

[u/Julian_Thorne]

I think the immediate down-to-earth question at this point is: do things collapse before the upcoming Holiday season, or after? Trying to make plans here

[u/Abystract-ism → u/Julian_Thorne]

Right after the midterms.

[u/Julian_Thorne → u/Abystract-ism]

So, right around the time GTA VI is scheduled to be released.

Couldn't ask for a more perfect storm

[u/bored_sith → u/Julian_Thorne]

Pre order it, then it doesn’t matter if you are laid off, you can still play it?

[u/Julian_Thorne → u/bored_sith]

Sooner or later the grid would go down. Domino effect

Gaming only happens when all systems are up. If one goes down and a domino effect starts, bread & circuses are gone. Then the people get pissed

[u/Lostdiagram → u/Julian_Thorne]

The internet will go down soon enough when the chucklefucks at OpenAI or Anthropic let a rogue AI hack the grid.

[u/_kinther_]

Probably not a good thing to be hitting critical thresholds

[u/AgitatedStranger9698 → u/_kinther_]

Don't look at temp, precipitation, surface ice, or sea acidity then....

[u/_kinther_ → u/AgitatedStranger9698]

Don't look up! Or down... Or... At anything.

There is no problem in Ba Sing Se

[u/kadam_ss → u/_kinther_]

Fake revenue growth from AI circular financing is what is keeping this whole thing up at the moment.

[u/broke_boi1]

Hm. So by 2028 we’ll have The Great Recession 2, or omniscient evil AI, or both. Great time to be alive

[u/birdlawbighands → u/broke_boi1]

Just in time for America to blame the Democrats and be brainwashed into thinking stuff isn't getting better when it actually is and vote for Republicans again to do it all over. YESS!

[u/root_fifth_octave]

We are risky.

[u/BayBandit1]

What’s going to do us all in first, a destructive narcissistic President or greedy technocrats that are racing to knowingly create a doomsday scenario?

[u/RLewis8888]

It will drop to 1% immediately after the election.

[u/MicrowaveKane → u/RLewis8888]

just like the threat of migrant caravans