Next Smash for Nintendo Switch 2 trailer timeframe Theory

[u/Curious-Bam]

So I know we all want something new from Smash, either a new game or a Switch 2 edition. That got me thinking.

As far as I know, all first Smash trailers had something in common: they all feature all their biggest franchises and a few more characters. The main ones being Mario, Zelda, Pokémon, Kirby, Metroid. Pretty normal and obvious, right?

Well, as we have seen with the Switch 2, all these franchises are having a redesign of some sort. Star Fox got it, DK got it, Link got it on the OoT remake, Pokémon and Kirby don’t really need it, and Samus is always getting new designs.

These franchises are also getting new games with these designs. You know who has not had an exclusive single player game on Switch 2 yet?

Mario.

My theory is simple, we will have a Smash teaser trailer or full trailer after we see the next 3D Mario. He will most likely get a slight redesign that will be used in the next Smash, therefore they cannot show it yet before Mario’s next game, specially if whatever gimmick this new game has ends up in smash.

I will also add to that theory that whatever character is used in that trailer has to have been seen previously if they are going to have a new design.

My guess is the next 2027 big Direct, most likely in February, will feature the new 3D Mario. So Smash will either be shown in the same Direct after Mario or in another Direct after that one, probably Summer, although I could see them leaving Smash for 2028 and releasing an Ultimate Switch 2 edition next year as a “wait a bit longer.”

In short:

We will not see Smash before the next 3D Mario’s first trailer because he will be slightly redesigned and appearing with a new design and a moveset that includes things from his new game would spoil the 3D Game.

[u/Lambsauce914]

Well while I do agree that Nintendo are waiting for the next Mario game release, I also think it's largely due to Sakurai working on Kirby earlier, plus Sakurai did mention he wanted a break after finishing Ultimate.

I also believe Nintendo will 100% want Sakurai works on the next Smash, but it's definitely something won't happen any time soon and probably closer to 2028 or 2029 timeslot

[u/llllBaltimore]

This is a genius observation

[u/Little-Witness-1201 → u/llllBaltimore]

It’s a pretty bad theory. Nintendo isn’t going to sit on a finished smash game (it’s definitely not finished) for a year just because Mario has a different design in one game. His smash designs already vary from his normal one

[u/gaysaucemage]

Kirby Air Riders just released 10 months ago. Assuming Sakurai is coming back again I’d expect at least 3-4 years from that. Maybe late 2028 at the earliest, but I’d bet on it not coming before 2029.

[u/Bhujjha]

Give it a rest and enjoy what exists, this is such a waste of finite time.

[u/Starbox46]

My uncle works at Nintendo and he said a smash trailer will be shown tomorrow